
LNG运输船全生命周期经济性分析
lngchuanyunshilngyunshudezhuyaoyunshufangshi,lngyunshuchuyulngchanyeliantiaodezhongyouhuanjie,weilianjielngchanyeshangxiayoudeyanhou。lngyunshuchuanzuoweijutideyunshuzaiti,yinqiyunshudeanquan、wendinghekekaodetedian,beichengwei“haishangfudongguandao”。quanshengmingzhouqilinianbaohanlechuanbodesheji、jianzao、yingyun、gaizao、tuiyidengjieduan,yinruquanshengmingzhouqilinian,nenggouyouxiaotigaolngyunshuchuandejingjixingfenxi。
一、 LNG运输船的发展现状
体育外围jiezhi2019nianniandi,quanqiugongyou598soulngyunshuchuan,qizhong35soufsru,5soufsu,35souxiaoxinglngyunshuchuan(cangrongwei4wanfangyixia),478souchangguixinglngyunshuchuan,31souq-flexchaodaxinglngyunshuchuan(cangrongwei21wanfangguige),14souq-maxchaodaxinglngyunshuchuan(cangrongwei26.6wanfangguige)。
体育外围zailngyunshuchuandexianhuoyunshuchuanbozujinfangmian,shoulnghuowujiagebodongjixianhuomaoyixuqiu、liuxiangdeyingxiang,lngyunshuchuanzai2019niandepingjunrizujinxiangbi2018nianjunweixiadie。tfdechuanxingcong2018niande8.53wanmeiyuan/tianxiadiezhi2019niande6.85wanmeiyuan/tian,stchuanxingcong2018niande5.35wanmeiyuan/tianjiangdao2019niande4.79wanmeiyuan/tian,megihexdfchuanxingzecong2018niande9.96wanmeiyuan/tianhuiluozhi2019niande8.15wanmeiyuan/tian。(xinguanyiqingyilai,lngchuanyunjiagejinglilebodong。——nengyuanqingbaobeizhu)
二、LNG运输船的发展趋势
congjishujiaodulaikan,lngyunshuchuandefazhanqushichengxianchu:
1)chuyutigaoyunshujingjixingkaolv,pingjuncangrongbuduanzengda;
体育外围2)lngmaoyiyunjuyuelaiyuezhang;
3)weijiangdihuosun,zhengfalvyuelaiyuedi。bomoxingyinzhengfalvdi、cangrongliyonglvgao,beiguangfancaiyong;
4)zhujijishubuduanjinbu,xinjianlngyunshuchuandaduocaiyongshuangranliaozhuji+chilunxiang+cppdezhituidonglixitong。
dangqian,suizhequanqiulngmaoyizhujianxiang“gengduan”“gengxiao”huafazhan,changguilngyunshuchuanzaijinyiliangnianlichengxianchugongdayuqiudejiaojintaishi。dansuizhexinjianyehuagongchangdeluxutouyun,tebieshizailngmaoyiyunjubuduanzengzhangdequshixia,xuyaoyuelaiyueduodelngyunshuchuanjinxingpeitaoyunshu。yujicong2020niandao2023nian,jiangxintouchan110soulngyunshuchuan,danzengjiadeyunlirengmanzubulexintouyongdelngyehuachannengchukouxuqiu,guchangguilngyunshuchuanderizujinzaiweilaisannianhoujianghuinuanshangsheng。
三、LNG运输船全生命周期经济性分析范围
体育外围lngyunshuchuandequanshengmingzhouqifanweizhuyaobaohanchuanbodesheji、jianzao、yingyun、gaizao、tuiyidengjieduan。zaichuanbosheji、jianzaoqijian,chuandongguanzhuchuanbojianzaozhouqi、chuanbozaojia;zaichuanboyunyingqijian,chuandongguanzhuchuanbodeyunyinglv,jiangdiyunyingchengben,zengjiachuanbozujinshouyidengwenti。danpubianyiyishang,ruxiangyaochuanbozaiyingyunqijianbaochilianghaozhuangtai,zezaisheji、jianzaojieduanjiuxuzengjiatouru,ruyiweizhuiqiujiangdichuanbojianzaozibentouru,erxuanzexingnengzhuangtaibuhaodeshebei,zejianghuidaozhichuanbozaiyingyunqijianchuxiangengduopincideweixiubaoyang,congerdaozhichuanboyunyinglvdejiangdi,jianshaochuanbodezujinshouru;danruweitigaochuanbozaitouchanhoudeyunyinglv,tigaohebaozhangchuanboxingnengzhuangtai,erxuanzejiadachuanbojianzaozibentouzi,zeyouyoukenenghuichuxianmeiyoubiyaodetourulangfei,zhishichuanbozaojiataigao、touzihuishouqizengjiadexianxiang。
weipinghengjiejueshangshuwenti,jiangchuanboquanshengmingzhouqijingjixingfenxidegainianyinrulngyunshuchuandetouzijuecezhongshishifenyoubiyaode。
(yi) shejijieduan
zhuyaozhichuandongxuandingzhuanyechuanboshejiyuanjinxingyixiangchuanbodejibensheji、xiangxishejiheshebeixuanxing,yijiyuchuanboshejixiangguandexilieshiyan,rushuichishiyandeng。chuanboshejidehaohuaiduihouxuchuanbojianzao、yingyunhuichanshengzhiguanzhongyaodeyingxiang,yincichuandongzaishejijieduanxuyuchuanboshejiyuanzuochongfendegoutong,bayixiangchuanbodeshichangdingwei、hangxingquyu、chuanboxingnengzhuangtaidengchongfenchuandijishejiyuan。duiyulngyunshuchuanlaishuo,chuanboyulngyehuagongchangmatou、lngjieshouzhandechuananjianrongpipeizaishejijieduandetiqiankaolv,jianghuiduichuanbotouchanhoudehangxingquyujishichangjienaduchanshengjudadeyingxiang。zaichuanboshejijieduan,jibenkekuangdingchuanbodejianzaozibentourufanwei。
(er)jianzaojieduan
zhuyaozhichuandongyuzaochuanchangqiandingchuanbojianzaohetonghou,chuanchangjinxingshengchansheji、shebeihecailiaodecaigou、jiagong、fenduanzuzhuang、chuantihelong、xiashui、xizhuangheshiyanjiaochuandenggongzuo。duiyulngyunshuchuan,huowuweihuxitonghelngranliaokongzhixitongshihexin,chuanchangduihuocangshengchanjiagongdezhiliangkongzhixiandezhiguanzhongyao,lingxujinxingqitishiyan,yijiancehuowuweihuxitong、lngranliaokongzhixitongdengshifoukedadaoshejixingnengzhuangtai。zaichuanbojianzaojieduan,chuandongxiangzaiyiqiandingdezaochuanhetongjineneijinkenengdixuanyongyouzhishebei、tigaochuanboxingnenghetiqianjiaochuan,erchuanchangzhuiqiudeshizaimanzuzaochuanhetongyaoqiuxia,tongguojishugaijin、guanliyouhuadengfangshijiangdijianzaochengben。yinci,dabufenlngyunshuchuanchuandongjunhuizujianzhuanyedechuanbojianzaoduiwu,duichuanchangdechuanbojianzaojindu、zhiliang、anquan、feiyongdengjinxingguankong。
(san)yingyunjieduan
zhuyaoshizhichuanbocongchuanchangjiaochuanjichuandonghou,zaichuandonggongsihuozhuanyechuanboguanligongsideguanlixia,tourushichangzhongfuyi,shouquchuanbozujinshouyidejieduan。lngyunshuchuandadoucaiyongqizujingyingmoshi,yincichuandongzhezhongguanzhuchuanbodeyunyinglv、zaizulvyijichuanboweixiubaoyang、yunyingchengbendetourudeng。lingwai,yinlngyunshuchuanzhuangzaihuowudezhengfatexing,huowuzhengfasunhaoshifoufuhezuchuanhetongyaoqiuyishichuandongguanzhudezhongdian。
(si)gaizaojieduan
zhuyaoshizhiduichuanbojinxingzhongdadegaizaohuogaizhuang,yikuodachuanbofuwugongnenghuoyanzhangchuanbodefuyiqideng。youdechuanbobuxuyaojinxingzhongdagaizao,yizhianzhaoshejichuzhongjinxingfuyi;youdechuanboyinfuwuduixiang、shichangdingwei、jishushengjihuandaidengbianhuaerxujinxingzhongdagaizao。
体育外围lngyunshuchuandezhongdagaizaozhuyaoyou:1)gaizaoweifsruhuoflng,shixianchuanbofuwugongnengdezhongdabianhua;2)gaizaoweilngjiazhuchuan,zengjiachuanbodejiazhugongneng;3)gaizaoweifsu,zheidabufenfashengzailaojiuchuanboshenshang。zaiciqijian,chuandonghuiduijinxinggaizaodeewaitouziyijigaizaozhihoudeyuqishouyijinxingzonghepinggufenxi。
(wu)tuiyijieduan
体育外围zhuyaoshizhichuanboshiqufuwunenglihe/huoyinglinengli,zhuanweixianzhizhuangtaihuosongzhichaichuanchangjinxingchuanbochaijie、huishou。zaizheiyijieduan,ruweixianzhizhuangtai,zechuandongzhuiqiuzaimanzuanquandetiaojianxia,jinkenengdijianshaokanchuanchengben;rujinxingchuanbochaijie、huishou,zeweichuanbobaofei,chaichuanchangzuoweizhuyaofuzefang,zhuiqiujinkenengduodijinxinghuishou,zengjiashouyi。
jianglngyunshuchuanzaishangshuwudajieduanqijianneidexianjinliuliangheliuxiangjinxingjisuan,zaiquanshengmingzhouqinei,jiangsheji、jianzao、rongzi、gaizao、yunyingdengchengbenzhichuzuoweixianjinliuchu,chuanbozujinshourujibaofeishourudengshouyizuoweixianjinliuchu,jikeduilngyunshuchuandequanshengmingzhouqijinxingjingjixingpingjia。
四、LNG运输船全生命周期经济性分析要素
duiyuchuandongeryan,lngyunshuchuandezaochuanzibentouruhechuanboyingyunqijianyunyingfeiyongtourushijinxingchuanbojingjixingfenxipingjiazuiweiguanzhudelianggefangmian。chuanbodezaochuanzibenchengbenzhuyaobaokuoshejifei、zaochuanhetongjia、jianzaofei、beijianfei、bukeyujifeijijiansheqilixideng。muqian,changgui17wanfanglngyunshuchuandechuanchangjianzaohetongjiageyuewei1.8-1.9yimeiyuan,erarc7pobingxinglngyunshuchuanmeisouchuanchangzaojiayuewei3.2yimeiyuan。chuanboyingyunqijiandeyunyingfeiyongtourukechengweichuanbocaozuochengben,yongyuchuanborichangguanlidebiyaozhichu,busuizuqizhangduan、yunshuliangduoshaodebianhuaerbianhua。zheibufenfeiyongbaokuochuanyuanfeiyong、chuanbowuxiufeiyong、hangxiufeiyong、yihaopinfeiyong、beipinbeijianfeiyong、chuanbobaoxianfeiyong、guanlifeiyongdeng。genjuchuanboguanligongsideguanlishuipingheguanliguimo,changguidaxinglngyunshuchuandeyunyingchengbenyuewei1.6-2wanmeiyuan/tian。
genjushichangdingweidebutong,tourushichangfuyidelngyunshuchuankefenwei“xiangmupeitaochuan”ji“xianhuojihuichuan”dengliangzhongleixing,zheiliangzhongleixingdeshichangrizujingenjuchuanbodingweidetedianeryousuobutong。
体育外围“xiangmupeitaochuan”weipeitaogudingdelngmaoyixiangmuertouzijianzaodechuanbo,gaileixingchuanbodezhuyaotedianwei:
体育外围1)gudingzujiadezhangqizuyue,yibanwei15-25nian;
2)gudingtouzishouyilvfantuidezibenbufenrizujin。genjuchuanbozaojia、rongzifeilvjichuandongkejieshoudeshouyiyuqiershedinggudingdetouzihuibaolv,bingfantuichuchuanbozibenbufenrizujin;
体育外围3)yunyingchengbenshibaoshixiaozhesuandeyunyingchengbenbufenrizujin。chuandongzaidangniandisijiduxiangchengzurentijiaoxianiandudeyunyingchengbenyusuanjihua,bingyouchengzurenjinxingshenhe。yunyingchengbenanshuangfangrentongdeyusuanjinezhesuanweiyunyingchengbenrizujin,tongguozujindexingshishouhui;
体育外围4)zuchuanhetong、jianzaohetongherongzihetongtongshiqianding。
体育外围“xianhuojihuichuan”weichuandongkanhaolngyunshuchuandeweilaishichang,zaimeiyoupeitaogudingzuyuedeqiantixiatouzijianzaodechuanbo。gaileixingchuanbodezhuyaotedianwei:
1)chuanbotouchanqianshangweiqudepeitaogudingzuyue,tongguozaiweilaidelngxianhuomaoyishichanghuodechuanbochuzujihuierqudezujinshouyi;
2)shouchuanboshichanggongxuyingxiang,chuanbozujinshangxiafudongfanweida;
体育外围3)dadaochuandongyuqitouzihuibaolvdeyingxiangyinsuduo,fengxianjiaoda。
chuanbodadouweichangguitongyongxinglngyunshuchuan,shichangxuanzemianda。
zaiduilngyunshuchuanquanshengmingzhouqijingjixingfenxiyaosudexuanquzhong,haixuzhuyichuanbodechuananjianrongfanwei、ranliaoxiaohaolv、zhengfalv、hangsu、cangrong、zhuang/xiehuosulvdengjishupingjiazhibiao,zheixieguanjianjishucanshuxingnengdedabiaohebaochiyufou,jiangzhijieyingxiangchuanbozaishichangshangdezujinshuiping、shouhuanyingchengduyijichuanbodeyingyunlv,jineryingxiangdaochuanbodequanshengmingzhouqijingjixingpingjia。
五、结语
体育外围jiangquanshengmingzhouqigainianyinrulngyunshuchuandejingjixingpingjiazhong,kezuoweichuanboshejijianzao、shebeixuanxingjichuanbogaizaodejueceyiju;tongshi,kaolvyunyingqijianchuanbozaizulv、shichangzujinshuipingdebianhua、chuanboguanjianjishuxingnengdeweichi,gengshicongchuanboyunyingdejiaoduchufalaizonghepingguchuanbodeyuqijingjixiaoyijisuokenengmianlindefengxian,congerdadaoduilngyunshuchuanjinxinggengweijingzhun、gengweiwanshan、xiaoyizuidahuadejingjixingfenxi。
wen/zhouyuliang zhonghaiyounengyuanfazhangufenyouxiangongsicaiyoufuwufengongsi

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